3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
890 sqft ·
Built 1850
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,028/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$152
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$267/mo
Annual
$3,203/yr
Cap rate
10.56%
Cash-on-cash
15.25%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.37%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#624 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D-, crime F.
Lisbon Central School District (rural): math 33% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #482 of 590 in NY (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $75k implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 5.3% in Ogdensburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QC13VPCZTGG5JH
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29