4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,341/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$523
Tax + insurance
−$537
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$282
Net cashflow
$-1/mo
Annual
$-16/yr
Cap rate
11.41%
Cash-on-cash
18.27%
DSCR
1.81
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$27,930
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-16/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $100k (0.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($690 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#132 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Cameron Parish (rural): math 36% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 98 in LA (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Cameron Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
11 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29