99 Rocky Hollow Rd

Alderson, WV 24985

$124,900C-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Built 2011 · SingleFamily · Pending · 16 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,166/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$655
• Tax + insurance: −$117
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$245
• Net cashflow: $149/mo
• Annual: $1,792/yr
• Cap rate: 7.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.12%
• DSCR: 1.23
• 1% rule: 0.93%
• Cash to close: $34,972

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $117k (6.6% below list).
• It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $117k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#177 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B, housing B; Watch: commute D, amenities F, employment F.
• Monroe County Schools (rural): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #29 of 55 in WV (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Peterstown Middle School (math 24% / reading 40%, grade F, #46 of 109 statewide, top 46%, 317 students, 0% FRL); James Monroe High School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #42 of 110 statewide, top 47%, 464 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 48% district-wide (48 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.
• Monroe County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.