4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,156 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,527/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$163
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$531
Net cashflow
$423/mo
Annual
$5,071/yr
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.73%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $269k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (6.0% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $253k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Bark River-Harris School District (rural): math 44% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #129 of 540 in MI (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Delta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Delta County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $106k; list at $269k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QCB2SBEHBZEDZ0
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29