1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
685 sqft ·
Built 1960
· Condo
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,320/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,563
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$524
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$487
Net cashflow
$-636/mo
Annual
$-7,636/yr
Cap rate
3.73%
Cash-on-cash
-9.15%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$83,440
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $298k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-636 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $186k (37.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($280k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $186k (37.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $63 appreciation (0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#14 in VA, #387 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, amenities A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Arlington County Public School District (urban): math 65% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #8 of 131 in VA (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 105 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 621 units permitted in Arlington County in 2024 (429 in 5+ unit buildings).
Arlington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 1.7% in Arlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-QD52EJ26SKX002
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29