4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,850 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,396/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$66
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$827/mo
Annual
$9,925/yr
Cap rate
31.17%
Cash-on-cash
88.84%
DSCR
4.95
1% rule
3.50%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#22 in ND, #4,000 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Larimore 44 (rural): math 57% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #36 of 169 in ND (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Larimore Elementary School (math 67% / reading 67%, grade B+, #4 of 236 statewide, top 1%, 197 students, 27% FRL); Larimore High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #85 of 144 statewide, top 62%, 193 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 24% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Grand Forks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grand Forks County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (7.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QD68RQ6SECX983
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29