3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
3,426 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 98 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,521/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$-8/mo
Annual
$-93/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.19%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-93/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#123 in MT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
Poplar H S (town): math 0% / reading 0% proficiency, ranked #320 of 339 in MT (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP.
Roosevelt County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant wear and tear
Major: exterior siding
— Peeling and in need of repainting
Minor: interior walls
— Chipping paint
Moderate: bathrooms
— Outdated fixtures and tiles
Moderate: kitchen
— Dated cabinets and appliances
CashFlowRE · CFR-QDNEQK4EPQMM9Z
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29