3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
902 sqft ·
Built 2015
· Manufactured
· Active
· 168 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$842/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$286/mo
Annual
$3,427/yr
Cap rate
12.53%
Cash-on-cash
22.29%
DSCR
1.99
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$15,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#706 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools D-, amenities F.
Mattoon CUSD 2 (town): math 13% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #462 of 620 in IL (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 117 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Coles County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Coles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.5% vs local median 3.6% in Mattoon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— dated design
Minor: interior walls
— peeling paint
CashFlowRE · CFR-QDVRJHBGFK9S8B
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29