3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1948
· Other
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$933/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$-111/mo
Annual
$-1,332/yr
Cap rate
5.37%
Cash-on-cash
-3.28%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$40,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-111 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $125k (13.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (35.6% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $93k (35.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#287 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-, commute F.
Potosi R-III (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #53 of 324 in MO (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Potosi Elem. (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #190 of 1,115 statewide, top 19%, 606 students, 100% FRL); Potosi High (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #155 of 521 statewide, top 32%, 682 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 56% district-wide (44 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP.
Washington County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.7% in Potosi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29