3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,520 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 297 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,478/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$723
Tax + insurance
−$293
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$520
Net cashflow
$941/mo
Annual
$11,290/yr
Cap rate
14.48%
Cash-on-cash
29.24%
DSCR
2.30
1% rule
1.80%
Cash to close
$38,612
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $941 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($953 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (9.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#143 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A; Watch: health & safety D+, employment D, crime F.
School City Of Hammond (suburban): math 8% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #289 of 301 in IN (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Abraham Lincoln Elementary School (math 8% / reading 13%, grade F, #914 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 546 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools at 75% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (9.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 5.8% in Hammond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29