3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,457 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,590/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,977
Tax + insurance
−$628
HOA
−$228
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$754
Net cashflow
$2/mo
Annual
$29/yr
Cap rate
6.30%
Cash-on-cash
0.03%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$105,560
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $377k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2 ($29/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $359k (4.8% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $359k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#43 in OH, #590 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, commute F.
Mason City (suburban): math 81% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #33 of 656 in OH (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.1% in Mason — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($133k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QES1B0BXB3896X
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29