3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,414 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,043/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,092
Tax + insurance
−$703
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$639
Net cashflow
$-391/mo
Annual
$-4,698/yr
Cap rate
5.12%
Cash-on-cash
-4.20%
DSCR
0.81
1% rule
0.76%
Cash to close
$111,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $399k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-391 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $330k (17.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $304k (23.7% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $304k (23.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Capitol Hill Elementary School (333 students, 17% FRL); Jackson Middle School (791 students, 26% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 37% district-wide (15 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $164k; list at $399k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($110k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QF2JPD04H83Z88
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29