2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,083 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Condo
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,174/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,351
Tax + insurance
−$1,065
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$877
Net cashflow
$-1,119/mo
Annual
$-13,423/yr
Cap rate
4.19%
Cash-on-cash
-7.50%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.65%
Cash to close
$178,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $639k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $477k (25.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $417k (34.7% below list).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($601k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $417k (34.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#45 in NY, #695 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Garden City Union Free School District (suburban): math 89% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #16 of 590 in NY (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 1% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.2% in Garden City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-QFJE3529QS9TAB
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29