3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,305 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$978/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$205
Net cashflow
$296/mo
Annual
$3,549/yr
Cap rate
11.44%
Cash-on-cash
18.37%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($978 rent vs $69k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#202 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Forest Grove (rural): math 15% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #402 of 513 in OK (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in McCurtain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McCurtain County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QFPE2B8C2JR86E
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29