2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,109 sqft ·
Built 1879
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,284/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$457
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$480
Net cashflow
$37/mo
Annual
$447/yr
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.59%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $37 ($447/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (8.6% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $228k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1879 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1879 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QFXEZJC49B5HY3
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29