56-3 Holly Dr #3

Exeter, PA 19606

$172,000D

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,161 sqft · Built 1986 · Condo · Pending · 5 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,809/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$902
• Tax + insurance: −$287
• HOA: −$299
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$380
• Net cashflow: $-59/mo
• Annual: $-703/yr
• Cap rate: 5.88%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.46%
• DSCR: 0.94
• 1% rule: 1.05%
• Cash to close: $48,160

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $172k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-59 ($-703/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (4.9% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $172k).
• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $164k (4.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#392 in PA, #3,546 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Exeter Township SD (suburban): math 41% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #141 of 539 in PA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Lorane El Sch (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #737 of 1,518 statewide, top 52%, 451 students, 36% FRL); Reiffton Sch (math 37% / reading 66%, grade C, #109 of 512 statewide, top 22%, 612 students, 39% FRL); Exeter Twp Shs (math 74% / reading 24%, grade D, #149 of 437 statewide, top 34%, 1,286 students, 30% FRL).
• Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.2% in Exeter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: kitchen cabinets — slight wear
• Minor: bathroom fixtures — dated design