4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,024 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$425/mo
Annual
$5,095/yr
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.91%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$64,400
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $227k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#144 in TX, #4,098 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, employment D+.
Pittsburg ISD (town): math 54% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #216 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pittsburg El (math 34% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,995 of 4,322 statewide, top 50%, 545 students, 80% FRL); Pittsburg J H (math 48% / reading 43%, grade D+, #470 of 1,662 statewide, top 29%, 349 students, 82% FRL); Pittsburg H S (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C, #333 of 1,632 statewide, top 22%, 726 students, 78% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3 units permitted in Camp County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Camp County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 5.1% in Pittsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QGJB7K5JGTNRQK
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29