3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,110 sqft ·
Built 2008
· Manufactured
· Active
· 167 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,869/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$489
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$393
Net cashflow
$521/mo
Annual
$6,252/yr
Cap rate
19.07%
Cash-on-cash
45.63%
DSCR
3.03
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#109 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, employment D+.
Montrose County School District Re-1J (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 86 in CO (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 375 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Montrose County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Montrose County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 19.1% vs local median 1.9% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QH3B0Q8FK84JQ9
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29