4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,044 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Other
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,517/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,778
Tax + insurance
−$257
HOA
−$63
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$529
Net cashflow
$-109/mo
Annual
$-1,314/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.38%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$94,951
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $339k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $320k (5.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $252k (25.8% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $252k (25.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Crowley ISD (urban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: June W Davis El (math 25% / reading 36%, grade F, #2,464 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 644 students, 59% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 1018 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QHTKHX4E36JQMD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29