2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$831/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$246
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$174
Net cashflow
$332/mo
Annual
$3,987/yr
Cap rate
14.79%
Cash-on-cash
30.36%
DSCR
2.35
1% rule
1.77%
Cash to close
$13,132
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $47k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $332 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($831 rent vs $47k).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $324 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#170 in OH, #2,623 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Bryan City (town): math 60% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #266 of 656 in OH (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Bryan Elementary (math 63% / reading 63%, grade B, #573 of 1,584 statewide, top 37%, 884 students, 31% FRL); Bryan Middle School/High School (math 57% / reading 66%, grade B-, #231 of 781 statewide, top 30%, 936 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools at 32% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 40 units permitted in Williams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Williams County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 14.8% vs local median 4.1% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QJ3WMDARKJQ19E
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29