3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Manufactured
· Active
· 207 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,287/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$353
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$551/mo
Annual
$6,611/yr
Cap rate
16.10%
Cash-on-cash
35.03%
DSCR
2.56
1% rule
1.91%
Cash to close
$18,872
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $551 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 207 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $466 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#6 in IA, #101 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: commute F.
Pella Community School District (town): math 85% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #8 of 289 in IA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 13% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 244 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 122 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 121% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.1% vs local median 2.0% in Pella — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 207 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets and countertops
— Severe wear and tear, indicating a need for replacement.
Major: Bathroom fixtures and paint
— Significant wear and discoloration, requiring replacement or repainting.
Major: Roof
— Visible damage and discoloration, indicating a need for repair or replacement.
Major: Exterior siding
— Peeling and significant wear, requiring repainting or replacement.
Major: Flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement or refinishing.
Major: Interior walls
— Significant wear and discoloration, requiring repainting.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QJVN4REYB9FA14
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29