1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
920 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 358 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$854/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$183
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$125/mo
Annual
$1,502/yr
Cap rate
9.58%
Cash-on-cash
11.75%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($854 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#131 in VA, #4,220 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Dickenson County Public School District (rural): math 59% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #58 of 131 in VA (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Dickenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickenson County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior walls
— The walls are severely deteriorated and need complete replacement.
Major: roof
— The roof is missing shingles and needs to be completely replaced.
Major: flooring
— The flooring is damaged and uneven, requiring complete replacement.
Major: interior walls
— The interior walls are damaged and need to be repaired or replaced.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No HVAC or mechanical systems are present, requiring installation of new systems.
Major: landscaping
— The property is overgrown with vegetation, requiring extensive landscaping and maintenance to improve curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QJY3ED4B72VRFH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29