3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1976
· Manufactured
· Active
· 162 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,138/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$315
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$411
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$239
Net cashflow
$73/mo
Annual
$881/yr
Cap rate
7.76%
Cash-on-cash
5.24%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
1.90%
Cash to close
$16,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($881/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#146 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Carbon District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #53 of 80 in UT (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 196 units permitted in Carbon County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carbon County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe weathering and peeling
Major: exterior paint
— Significant peeling and fading
Major: exterior doors
— Need to be replaced soon
CashFlowRE · CFR-QJY7TE23KNS644
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29