3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,125 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Manufactured
· Active
· 136 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$971/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$112/mo
Annual
$1,338/yr
Cap rate
7.70%
Cash-on-cash
5.04%
DSCR
1.22
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$26,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($971 rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Lawrence County (rural): math 14% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #85 of 129 in AL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hatton Elementary School (math 25% / reading 43%, grade F, #311 of 627 statewide, top 50%, 439 students, 51% FRL); Hatton High School (math 9% / reading 29%, grade F, #181 of 305 statewide, top 60%, 543 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Severe peeling and deterioration.
Major: roof
— Visible damage and possible missing shingles.
Major: flooring
— Worn and in need of replacement.
Major: interior walls/paint
— Peeling paint and potential water damage.
Major: bathrooms
— Significant wear and potential plumbing issues.
Major: kitchen cabinets
— Old and outdated appearance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QKHEGD9Q6RMY7Q
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29