4 bd · 8.0 ba ·
6,478 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,553/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,355
Tax + insurance
−$281
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,586
Net cashflow
$3,332/mo
Annual
$39,978/yr
Cap rate
15.20%
Cash-on-cash
31.80%
DSCR
2.41
1% rule
1.68%
Cash to close
$125,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/8.0-bath multifamily listed at $449k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($40k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $449k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($436k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $436k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#204 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Fayetteville (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #114 of 139 in TN (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Ralph Askins School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 952 statewide, top 42%, 555 students, 0% FRL); Fayetteville High School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 332 statewide, top 49%, 383 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 58% district-wide (58 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 173 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lincoln County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $300k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 2.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QKJDBABYNQXMQX
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29