4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,528 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$313
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$588
Net cashflow
$63/mo
Annual
$761/yr
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.78%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($761/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $280k (20.0% below list).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $280k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#116 in MI, #2,784 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, health & safety D, commute F.
Livonia Public Schools School District (urban): math 46% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #77 of 540 in MI (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kennedy Elementary School (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C, #276 of 1,397 statewide, top 22%, 457 students, 40% FRL); Frost Middle School (math 43% / reading 58%, grade C, #110 of 493 statewide, top 23%, 626 students, 40% FRL); Churchill High School (math 53% / reading 67%, grade C+, #73 of 713 statewide, top 11%, 1,241 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 38% FRL vs 22% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $206k; list at $350k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.9% in Livonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QKT7TD7K28QY86
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29