3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,206 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,321/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$772
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$907
Net cashflow
$19/mo
Annual
$231/yr
Cap rate
6.34%
Cash-on-cash
0.17%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($231/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $432k (13.6% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($492k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $432k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Stratford School District (urban): math 22% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #122 of 153 in CT (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lordship School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #401 of 553 statewide, top 74%, 177 students, 48% FRL); Stratford High School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,127 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 31% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 852 units permitted in Greater Bridgeport Planning Region in 2024 (698 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $127k; list at $500k implies a 294% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $4,321/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 507% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QKTEZWBREBFD2W
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29