4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,150 sqft ·
Built 1889
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,396/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$240
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$448/mo
Annual
$5,379/yr
Cap rate
13.10%
Cash-on-cash
24.32%
DSCR
2.08
1% rule
1.77%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#213 in NY, #3,281 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: employment D+, commute F.
Springville-Griffith Institute Central School District (town): math 47% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #385 of 590 in NY (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1889 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 2.2% in Springville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1889 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QKVD0KAEADZJFY
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29