2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,239 sqft ·
Built 1953
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$907/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$488
Tax + insurance
−$65
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$190
Net cashflow
$164/mo
Annual
$1,967/yr
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.55%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$26,040
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $93k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $91k (2.5% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($643 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#428 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Lowndes County (rural): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #124 of 133 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP.
Lowndes County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $60k; list at $93k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QKY18GE3CM8KHC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29