816 Embark Cir

Greer, SC 29651

$219,900D-

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,462 sqft · Built 2026 · Townhouse · Active · 128 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,775/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,153
• Tax + insurance: −$366
• HOA: −$160
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$373
• Net cashflow: $-278/mo
• Annual: $-3,332/yr
• Cap rate: 4.78%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.41%
• DSCR: 0.76
• 1% rule: 0.81%
• Cash to close: $61,572

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $220k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-278 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $180k (18.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (19.3% below list).
• It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $177k (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#7 in SC, #1,463 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
• Spartanburg 05 (suburban): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #13 of 80 in SC (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Reidville Elementary (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #102 of 597 statewide, top 18%, 667 students, 46% FRL); Berry Shoals Intermediate (math 54% / reading 48%, grade C, #36 of 229 statewide, top 16%, 902 students, 56% FRL); James F. Byrnes High (math 31% / reading 75%, grade C-, #140 of 196 statewide, top 72%, 2,217 students, 56% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 679 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 99d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,129 units permitted in Spartanburg County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Spartanburg County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.4% in Greer — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.