3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,511 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Other
· Pending
· 209 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,961/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,232
Tax + insurance
−$392
HOA
−$185
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$412
Net cashflow
$-260/mo
Annual
$-3,117/yr
Cap rate
4.97%
Cash-on-cash
-4.74%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$65,797
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $235k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-260 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (16.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (16.5% below list).
It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $196k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 92/100 on livability (#3 in IA, #29 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute C-.
North Polk Community School District (rural): math 87% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #7 of 289 in IA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 708 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.9% in Ankeny — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QMA7ZD1WPGVG13
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29