3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,415 sqft ·
Built 1947
· SingleFamily
· Under Agreement
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,114/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,726
Tax + insurance
−$668
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$654
Net cashflow
$-934/mo
Annual
$-11,213/yr
Cap rate
4.14%
Cash-on-cash
-7.70%
DSCR
0.66
1% rule
0.60%
Cash to close
$145,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $520k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-934 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $355k (31.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $311k (40.1% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($504k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $311k (40.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#90 in MA, #4,625 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
Stoughton (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #208 of 302 in MA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 40 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 958 units permitted in Norfolk County in 2024 (305 in 5+ unit buildings).
Norfolk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $265k; list at $520k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 40% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QMNBJH2ZJ5GTGG
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29