2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 2016
· Land
· Active
· 116 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,749/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$367
Net cashflow
$587/mo
Annual
$7,046/yr
Cap rate
12.42%
Cash-on-cash
21.88%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $587 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#503 in NJ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Northern Burlington County Regional School District (rural): math 27% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #198 of 472 in NJ (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Clarence B. Lamb Elementary School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #661 of 1,303 statewide, top 54%, 294 students, 32% FRL); Northern Burlington County Regional Middle School (math 27% / reading 56%, grade F, #182 of 431 statewide, top 43%, 703 students, 13% FRL); Northern Burlington County Regional High School (math 27% / reading 58%, grade F, #166 of 399 statewide, top 42%, 1,427 students, 13% FRL).
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,161 units permitted in Burlington County in 2024 (988 in 5+ unit buildings).
Burlington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
12 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $115k implies a 156% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QMXHEHF4TNRM56
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29