2 bd · None ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 196 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$856/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$517
Tax + insurance
−$164
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-53/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.19%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$27,580
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/?-bath single-family listed at $98k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-53/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (0.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $86k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($681 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 52/100 on livability (#491 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Robertson County (rural): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #123 of 165 in KY (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP.
Robertson County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QNMR491SZ59E7B
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29