3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,664 sqft ·
Built 1958
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,142/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$74/mo
Annual
$884/yr
Cap rate
6.95%
Cash-on-cash
2.34%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($884/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (15.4% below list).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#335 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Foreman School District (rural): math 38% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #92 of 238 in AR (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Little River County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Little River County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $135k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29