3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,330 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Other
· Pending
· 467 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,454/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$305
Net cashflow
$139/mo
Annual
$1,667/yr
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.72%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (9.0% below list).
It's been on market 467 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#94 in KY, #3,786 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
Taylor County (town): math 26% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #71 of 165 in KY (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Taylor County Elementary School (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #293 of 676 statewide, top 44%, 567 students, 59% FRL); Taylor County Middle School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #99 of 217 statewide, top 47%, 601 students, 52% FRL); Taylor County High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #127 of 254 statewide, top 58%, 817 students, 47% FRL).
Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Taylor County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taylor County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.7% in Campbellsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 467 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QPBPN20S5TXGY1
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29