2 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,444 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Timeshare
· Active
· 234 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,510/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$257
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$1,486
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$947
Net cashflow
$1,672/mo
Annual
$20,059/yr
Cap rate
48.86%
Cash-on-cash
152.02%
DSCR
7.76
1% rule
9.20%
Cash to close
$13,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath timeshare listed at $49k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($339 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#268 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A, employment B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Eagle County School District No. RE-50 (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 86 in CO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: 448 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 387 units permitted in Eagle County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Eagle County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 48.9% vs local median 0.4% in Edwards — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,510/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 744% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29