8 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,449 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 139 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$14,942/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,982
Tax + insurance
−$909
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,138
Net cashflow
$5,913/mo
Annual
$70,961/yr
Cap rate
13.76%
Cash-on-cash
26.68%
DSCR
2.19
1% rule
1.57%
Cash to close
$266,000
Investor read
This is a 6 × 7-bed/6.0-bath units multifamily listed at $950k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($71k/yr) — positive. Per door: $986/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $950k).
It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($836k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $836k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#137 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A-, health & safety B+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, schools D-.
Fitchburg (suburban): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #282 of 302 in MA (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 79 active listings in the ZIP; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $200k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $58k; list at $950k implies a 1538% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $266k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 4.0% in Fitchburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $14,942/mo this rent would consume 246% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 1763% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-QPSQPH6CXNEDB8
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29