2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,226/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$250
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-68/mo
Annual
$-816/yr
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.94%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-816/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $140k (6.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (18.3% below list).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (18.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#194 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Kettle Falls School District (rural): math 37% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #171 of 291 in WA (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Kettle Falls Elementary School (304 students, 62% FRL); Kettle Falls Middle School (237 students, 68% FRL); Kettle Falls High School (237 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 46% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 341 units permitted in Stevens County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stevens County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 1.5% in Kettle Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QPW5G9090ZEGB0
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29