3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,952 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Pending
· 12 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,046/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$237
HOA
−$42
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$430
Net cashflow
$-21/mo
Annual
$-247/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.34%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-247/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $255k (1.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (21.0% below list).
Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $205k (21.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Crandall ISD (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #351 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 787 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.6% in Heartland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QQ3NVQ0JRK7P85
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29