120 Meadow Ridge Dr

Redland, AL 36093

$62,500B+

3 bd · None ba · 1,440 sqft · Built 1997 · Manufactured · Pending · 70 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,900/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$328
• Tax + insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$399
• Net cashflow: $1,136/mo
• Annual: $13,633/yr
• Cap rate: 28.11%
• Cash-on-cash: 77.91%
• DSCR: 4.47
• 1% rule: 3.04%
• Cash to close: $17,500

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/?-bath manufactured listed at $62k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $62k).
• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $59k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#10 in AL, #3,261 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Elmore County (town): math 27% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #21 of 129 in AL (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Redland Elementary School (math 35% / reading 66%, grade D+, #114 of 627 statewide, top 19%, 734 students, 40% FRL); Wetumpka Middle School (math 19% / reading 51%, grade F, #86 of 257 statewide, top 34%, 738 students, 73% FRL); Wetumpka High School (math 29% / reading 43%, grade F, #43 of 305 statewide, top 14%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL).
• Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 92 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Elmore County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 28.1% vs local median 2.9% in Redland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.