3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,399 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,152/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$237
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$96/mo
Annual
$1,155/yr
Cap rate
7.34%
Cash-on-cash
3.75%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#97 in TX, #3,326 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Perryton ISD (town): math 53% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #186 of 826 in TX (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: James L Wright El (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,545 of 4,322 statewide, top 38%, 471 students, 67% FRL); Perryton J H (math 53% / reading 48%, grade C, #333 of 1,662 statewide, top 21%, 436 students, 58% FRL); Perryton H S (math 62% / reading 57%, grade C+, #275 of 1,632 statewide, top 19%, 620 students, 56% FRL).
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Ochiltree County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ochiltree County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QS6E2DFA21K4MH
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29