4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,594 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$20,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,851
Tax + insurance
−$1,542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,200
Net cashflow
$9,408/mo
Annual
$112,890/yr
Cap rate
18.50%
Cash-on-cash
43.59%
DSCR
2.94
1% rule
2.16%
Cash to close
$259,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $925k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($113k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $925k).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($870k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $870k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#137 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Regional School District 09 (rural): math 75% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #7 of 192 in CT (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
9 sale attempts since 32y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $658k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $259k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Paint appears slightly worn and could benefit from touch-up.
Minor: Flooring
— Tiled flooring in kitchen and bathrooms could be refreshed with a sealant or new grout.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QS8D0EFNTF9S99
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29