2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,071 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Under Contract
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,609/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$650
Tax + insurance
−$181
HOA
−$360
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$338
Net cashflow
$80/mo
Annual
$959/yr
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.76%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
1.30%
Cash to close
$34,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $124k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $80 ($959/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $124k).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $122k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $857 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Captain John Smith Elementary (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 393 students, 82% FRL); Hampton High (math 60% / reading 75%, grade B, #183 of 319 statewide, top 58%, 1,359 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 49% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29