2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
780 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$845/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$217/mo
Annual
$2,609/yr
Cap rate
10.13%
Cash-on-cash
13.70%
DSCR
1.61
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($845 rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#590 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
Walker-Hackensack-Akeley School District (rural): math 31% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #232 of 301 in MN (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 27 units permitted in Hubbard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hubbard County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $40k; list at $68k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QSYCEK5V7442ZY
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29