4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
4,012 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Other
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,430/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$61
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$938/mo
Annual
$11,257/yr
Cap rate
51.32%
Cash-on-cash
160.81%
DSCR
8.16
1% rule
5.72%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath other listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $938 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($25k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $25k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#231 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Martinsville City Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #122 of 131 in VA (top 93%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Albert Harris Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,108 statewide, top 94%, 403 students, 101% FRL); Martinsville Middle (math 33% / reading 58%, grade D+, #268 of 342 statewide, top 80%, 393 students, 100% FRL); Martinsville High (math 32% / reading 72%, grade D+, #295 of 319 statewide, top 93%, 564 students, 101% FRL) — zoned schools average 101% FRL vs 74% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 258 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Martinsville city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martinsville County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 51.3% vs local median 5.8% in Martinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29