406 Hill St

Smethport, PA 16749

$49,999B+

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,044 sqft · Built 1896 · Other · Active · 58 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $969/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax + insurance: −$110
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$204
• Net cashflow: $394/mo
• Annual: $4,725/yr
• Cap rate: 15.74%
• Cash-on-cash: 33.75%
• DSCR: 2.50
• 1% rule: 1.94%
• Cash to close: $14,000

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $50k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($969 rent vs $50k).
• It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $1k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $966 appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#425 in PA, #3,875 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety D.
• Smethport Area SD (rural): math 34% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #270 of 539 in PA (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: built in 1896 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in McKean County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• McKean County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1896 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.