2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
540 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$833/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$207
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$175
Net cashflow
$137/mo
Annual
$1,639/yr
Cap rate
9.03%
Cash-on-cash
9.77%
DSCR
1.43
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $137 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($833 rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#784 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Austin El (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,791 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 356 students, 91% FRL); Francisco Barrientes Middle (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,341 of 1,662 statewide, top 82%, 1,215 students, 83% FRL); Edinburg H S (math 14% / reading 35%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 2,433 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 62% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 411 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 2.4% in Edinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QVEMPN36R8S54X
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29