2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,028 sqft ·
Built 1938
· Other
· Pending
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$954/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$460
Tax + insurance
−$245
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$49/mo
Annual
$587/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.39%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$24,556
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $88k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($587/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($954 rent vs $88k).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($606 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#409 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
Wethersfield CUSD 230 (town): math 16% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #391 of 620 in IL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29