4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,005 sqft ·
Built 2023
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,699/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,508
Tax + insurance
−$347
HOA
−$83
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$567
Net cashflow
$194/mo
Annual
$2,330/yr
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.89%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$80,500
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $288k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $270k (6.1% below list).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($279k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $270k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#440 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 425 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.9% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,699/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 834% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QVR2D9C7FC24Q2
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29